Herman Kahn's Profile
Brief about Herman Kahn: By info that we know Herman Kahn was born at 1922-02-15. And also Herman Kahn is American Scientist.
Some Herman Kahn's quotes. Goto "Herman Kahn's quotation" section for more.My guess is that nuclear weapons will be used sometime in the next hundred years, but that their use is much more likely to be small and limited than widespread and unconstrained.
Tags: Next, Small, UsedNew developments in weapon systems during the 1950s and early 1960s created a situation that was most dangerous, and even conducive to accidental war.
Tags: Dangerous, Situation, WarThe objective of nuclear-weapons policy should not be solely to decrease the number of weapons in the world, but to make the world safer - which is not necessarily the same thing.
Tags: Number, Policy, WeaponsThe widespread diffusion of nuclear weapons would make many nations able, and in some cases also create the pressure, to aggravate an on-going crisis, or even touch off a war between two other powers for purposes of their own.
Tags: Between, Crisis, WarThere was no race - but to the extent that there was an arms competition, it was almost entirely on the Soviet side, first to catch up and then to surpass the Americans.
Tags: Almost, Race, SideTo the extent that these advanced weapons or their components are treated as articles of commerce, perhaps for peaceful uses as in the Plowshare program, their cost would be well within the resources available to many large private organizations.
Tags: Peaceful, Perhaps, WithinDeterrence itself is not a preeminent value; the primary values are safety and morality.
Tags: Morality, Value, ValuesFailures of perspective in decision-making can be due to aspects of the social utility paradox, but more often result from simple mistakes caused by inadequate thought.
Tags: Mistakes, Simple, ThoughtOnly those who are ideologically opposed to military programs think of the defense budget as the first and best place to get resources for social welfare needs.
Tags: Best, Place, SocialWorld War I broke out largely because of an arms race, and World War II because of the lack of an arms race.
Tags: Lack, Race, WarProjecting a persuasive image of a desirable and practical future is extremely important to high morale, to dynamism, to consensus, and in general to help the wheels of society turn smoothly.
Tags: Future, Help, SocietyAnything that reduces war-related destruction should not be considered altogether immoral.
Tags: Altogether, Considered, ImmoralHuman and moral factors must always be considered. They must never be missing from policies and from public discussion.
Tags: Human, Moral, PublicNuclear war is such an emotional subject that many people see the weapons themselves as the common enemy of humanity.
Tags: Emotional, Enemy, WarRelated topics
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